Risks Involved in Futures Contracts (2024)

Futures trading is inherently risky and requires that participants, especially brokers, are not only familiar will all the risks but also possess the skills to manage those risks. Following are the risks associated with trading futures contracts:

  1. Leverage

    One of the chief risks associated with futures trading comes from the inherent feature of leverage. Lack of respect for leverage and the risks associated with it is often the most common cause for losses in futures trading. Exchange sets margins at levels which are deemed appropriate for managing risks at clearinghouse level. This is the minimum level of margins required by the exchange and provides maximum leverage. For example, if the initial margin for gold is 2.5%, it implied 40 times leverage. In other words, a trader can take a position equivalent to Rs. 100,000 by only depositing Rs. 2,500 in his or her account. Clearly, this represents great amount of leverage which is defined as the ability to take large exposures with little upfront cost.

  2. Interest Rate Risk

    The risk that an investment's value will change due to a change in the absolute level of interest rates. Normally, rise in interest rates during the investment period may result in reduced prices of the held securities.

  3. LiquidityRisk

    Liquidity risk is an important factor in trading. Level of liquidity in a contract can impact the decision to trade or not. Even if a trader arrives at a strong trading view, he may not be able to execute the strategy due to lack of liquidity. There may not be enough opposite interest in the market at the right price to initiate a trade. Even if a trade is executed, there is always a risk that it can become difficult or costly to exit from positions in illiquid contracts.

  4. Settlement and Delivery Risk

    All executed trades need to be settled and closed at some point. Daily settlement takes the form of automatic debits and credits between accounts with any shortfalls being recovered through margin calls. Brokers are obligated to fulfill all margin calls. Use of electronic systems with online banking has reduced the risks of failed daily settlements. However, non-payment of margin calls by clients poses a serious risk for brokers.

    In cases where clients fail to pay margin calls, brokers need to be proactive and take steps to close out positions. Managing risks of client non-payment is an internal broker function that should be done in real-time. Delayed response to client delinquency can result in the creating losses for brokers if not default.

    Similarly, the risk of non-delivery is substantial for physically delivered contracts. Brokers need to ensure that they allow only those clients access to trade deliverable contracts till maturity who have the capacity and ability to make good on delivery obligations.

  5. Operational Risk

    Operational risk is a major source of losses for brokers as well as investor complaints. Errors due to manual mistakes by staff are a major area of risk for all brokers. Measures like adequate staff training, supervision, internal controls, and documentation of standard operating procedures and segregation of tasks are essential for running a brokerage house as well as for reducing instances and impact of operational risks.

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Risks Involved in Futures Contracts (2024)

FAQs

Risks Involved in Futures Contracts? ›

One of the simplest and commonest risks of futures trading is the price risk. For example, if you buy futures, you expect the price to go up. However, if the price goes down, you are at risk of loss. For futures traders, the biggest risks of futures trading come from the adverse movement of prices.

What are the problems with futures contracts? ›

Risks associated with futures contract

Margin call risk: If the market moves against your position, you may be required to deposit additional margin to cover potential losses. Failure to meet margin calls can lead to forced liquidation of your position. Expiration risk: Futures contracts have fixed expiration dates.

How to manage risk in futures? ›

Risk management is crucial in futures trading to minimize losses and keep you trading. Fundamental principles of risk management include setting stop-loss orders and diversification. Risk management strategies involve position sizing, technical analysis, and monitoring market conditions.

Why futures are more riskier than options? ›

1. Which one is safer futures or options? Options are generally considered safer than futures because the potential loss in options trading is limited to the premium paid, whereas futures carry higher risk due to potential unlimited losses resulting from leverage and market movements.

What are the risks involved in futures contracts? ›

One of the simplest and commonest risks of futures trading is the price risk. For example, if you buy futures, you expect the price to go up. However, if the price goes down, you are at risk of loss. For futures traders, the biggest risks of futures trading come from the adverse movement of prices.

What are the risks involved in forward contracts? ›

Risks involved while trading in Forwards Include, liquidity risk, default risk, regulatory risk and lack of flexibility. The main areas of differences between Forwards and Futures lie in their contract terms, their default risk, regulation, initial margin and settlement.

What is the basis risk of futures? ›

Basis risk is the risk that the futures price might not move in normal, steady correlation with the price of the underlying asset, and that this fluctuation in the basis may negate the effectiveness of a hedging strategy employed to minimize a trader's exposure to potential loss.

How much should you risk in futures? ›

One popular method is the 2% Rule, which means you never put more than 2% of your account equity at risk (Table 1). For example, if you are trading a $50,000 account, and you choose a risk management stop loss of 2%, you could risk up to $1,000 on any given trade.

How to limit risk in futures? ›

By diversifying your trading across different types of uncorrelated futures contracts and markets, traders can help reduce their overall risk exposure to highly correlated markets all moving generally in the same direction, like major market indexes, bonds, currencies, and other markets.

Why are futures high risk? ›

Market Risk: The most obvious risk with futures trading is that prices can be highly volatile, and changes are can be swift, adverse, and devastating. 11 This is because the market risk is magnified by leverage, when there's already enough to worry about when supply and demand shift.

Can we exit futures before expiry? ›

Yes, among the many unique features of a futures contract, it allows you to trade (sell) a futures contract before expiry. In fact, most traders enter the market as speculators to profit from futures trading, exit their position before expiry. However, to trade in futures, you need a futures trading strategy.

Do future contracts decay? ›

Although outright futures contracts are derivatives, they do not experience time decay. As a result, buying or selling an outright futures contract will not "decay" over time.

What are the disadvantages of futures? ›

Future contracts have numerous advantages and disadvantages. The most prevalent benefits include simple pricing, high liquidity, and risk hedging. The primary disadvantages are having no influence over future events, price swings, and the possibility of asset price declines as the expiration date approaches.

What are the cons of futures options? ›

Cons
  • Costs: Trading options on futures can involve several types of costs, including commissions, bid-ask spreads, and, for options buyers, the premium.
  • Risk of Illiquidity: Some options on futures may be illiquid, meaning they are not traded frequently.

What are the pros and cons of futures and forwards? ›

Differences Between Futures and Forwards
FuturesForwards
No counterparty risk, since payment is guaranteed by the exchange clearing houseCredit default risk, since it is privately negotiated, and fully dependent on the counterparty for payment
Actively tradedNon-transferrable
RegulatedNot regulated
2 more rows

What is the big disadvantage of hedging with futures? ›

While futures can provide a potential hedge for some situations, they also carry risks like potentially reducing the overall increase of your portfolio value or creating significant loss.

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