Forward Contracts: What are They, Risks and Example (2024)

In the dynamic world of finance, various instruments and tools are employed to manage risk, hedge against uncertainties, and facilitate seamless business operations. One such instrument is the forward contract, a widely used financial agreement that enables parties to secure prices for future transactions, thereby mitigating potential market fluctuations. In this article, we will delve into the fundamental aspects of forward contracts.

What are forward contracts?

A forward contract is a legally binding agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a specified future date. This arrangement allows individuals, corporations, and institutions to lock in prices for various commodities, currencies, or other financial instruments, regardless of the actual market conditions at the time of execution. Forward contracts are typically traded over the counter (OTC), meaning they are privately negotiated between the parties involved.

Also read: What are options

Features of forward contract

  1. Non-standardised and over-the-counter (OTC):
    Forward contracts are not standardised and are not traded on a stock exchange. This lack of standardisation allows the parties involved to customise the contract according to their specific needs, including the underlying assets, amount, and delivery date.
  2. Customisable agreements:
    Parties have the flexibility to make changes to the agreement, adjusting elements such as the underlying assets, quantity, and delivery date. This customisation feature makes forward contracts versatile and adaptable to the unique requirements of the contracting parties.
  3. Settlement options:
    Forward contracts offer two primary settlement options. Physical delivery involves the seller delivering the actual assets to the buyer, who, in turn, pays the agreed-upon amount. Alternatively, cash settlement occurs without the physical transfer of assets; instead, one party pays the other the appropriate cash differential to settle the contract.
  4. Risk hedging for corporations:
    Corporations commonly use forward contracts to mitigate and hedge against interest rate risk. This strategic use helps companies avoid the potential negative impact of purchasing assets at higher prices in the future, providing a mechanism for risk management.
  5. No margin requirement:
    Forward trading does not require margin, as it is not regulated by SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India). The absence of a margin requirement simplifies the trading process, making it more accessible and allowing for greater customisation in the absence of strict regulatory constraints.

Trading principle of a forward contract

The primary principle behind forward contracts is to lock in a future price today, regardless of market fluctuations. This can be especially valuable in volatile markets where prices can swing dramatically over short periods. By entering a forward contract, both parties commit to the agreed-upon terms, irrespective of how market conditions evolve. This can provide a sense of security and predictability in uncertain economic climates.

Mechanics of forward contracts

  • Contractual elements: A forward contract comprises essential components such as the underlying asset, contract size, price (also known as the forward price), delivery date, and the parties involved. The buyer agrees to purchase the asset at the predetermined price on the delivery date, while the seller commits to delivering the asset at the agreed-upon terms.
  • Price determination: The forward price is established when the contract is initiated. It is derived from the current spot price of the underlying asset and takes into account factors such as interest rates, carrying costs, and market expectations.
  • Non-standardisation: Unlike standardised financial instruments traded on exchanges, forward contracts offer flexibility in terms of contract specifications. This allows the parties to tailor the agreement according to their specific needs. However, this non-standardisation can also lead to challenges, as terms and conditions may vary significantly between different contracts.
  • Obligations and risks: While forward contracts provide a means of hedging against future price fluctuations, they also carry certain risks. If the market price deviates from the forward price, one party may benefit at the expense of the other. Additionally, the obligation to fulfill the contract on the agreed-upon date is binding, which could lead to unforeseen consequences if circ*mstances change..

Example of forward contract

Imagine a scenario where a farmer in India, let's call him Raj, cultivates a significant amount of wheat. Raj anticipates that the price of wheat might fluctuate by the time he harvests his crop in six months. He's concerned that a drop in wheat prices could negatively impact his income.

To address this concern, Raj decides to enter a forward contract with a local miller, Maya Flour Mills. The current spot price of wheat is Rs. 2,000 per quintal (100 kilograms). Raj expects to harvest 1,000 quintals of wheat in six months.

Raj and Maya Flour Mills negotiate a forward contract where Maya Flour Mills agrees to buy 1,000 quintals of wheat from Raj in six months at a forward price of Rs. 2,200 per quintal.

Potential outcomes of the above example

  • Wheat prices increase: If the price of wheat rises to Rs. 2,500 per quintal in six months due to supply shortages or increased demand, Raj benefits from the forward contract. He can sell his wheat to Maya Flour Mills at the agreed-upon lower price of Rs. 2,200 per quintal. But Maya flour mill benefit more from this situation as it will be getting the wheat at a lower price because of the contract.
  • Wheat prices decrease: If the price of wheat falls to Rs. 1,800 per quintal in six months due to a bumper crop or changing market conditions, Raj is still protected by the forward contract. He can sell his wheat to Maya Flour Mills at the higher forward price of Rs. 2,200 per quintal.

In both scenarios, Raj benefits from the forward contract by securing a fixed price for his wheat crop. The contract helps Raj manage the uncertainty of price fluctuations, providing him with financial stability and predictability for his agricultural income.

Considerations

  • Counterparty risk: There's a risk that Maya Flour Mills might not honor the contract if they face financial difficulties. Raj needs to assess Maya Flour Mills' credibility before entering into the agreement.
  • Opportunity cost: If wheat prices increase significantly beyond the forward price, Raj might miss out on potential higher profits by selling at the fixed forward price.
  • Lock-in effect: The fixed price agreed upon in the forward contract might not align with prevailing market conditions. Raj might feel constrained if prices move more favourably for him after entering the contract.

Significance and applications

  • Risk management: Forward contracts are widely used as risk management tools. Businesses that rely on commodities, such as farmers, manufacturers, and energy producers, can use forward contracts to hedge against price volatility and secure future revenues or costs.
  • Currency management: Multinational corporations use forward contracts to manage currency risk. By locking in exchange rates in advance, they can safeguard against adverse fluctuations in foreign exchange rates when conducting international business transactions.

Difference between forward and future contract

While forward contracts and futures contracts may seem similar, there are some key differences that traders must understand.

  1. Trading on exchange: Futures contracts are traded on organized exchanges, whereas forward contracts are traded over the counter (OTC) between two parties. In exchange-traded futures, the exchange acts as the counter party to both buyer and seller, and the exchange regulates the trades.
  2. Standardized vs custom-made contracts: Futures contracts have specific details such as the contract size, deliverable dates, and terms, making it a more standardized contract. Forward contracts, on the other hand, can be customized to suit the needs of the parties involved, making it a more flexible contract based on the mutual understanding of both parties.
  3. Counterparty risk: Futures contracts are backed by the exchange, so there is no counterparty risk involved. In contrast, forward contracts carry counterparty risk since the performance depends heavily on the financial stability of both parties involved, particularly true for a long-term forward contract or one with a large value.
  4. Liquidity: Forward contracts have lower liquidity than futures contracts. This is because forward contracts are not traded on exchanges, while futures contracts are traded on exchanges. Exchange-traded contracts are more liquid because there are more buyers and sellers in the market.

Conclusion

In conclusion, forward contracts are an essential tool for investors and traders to hedge against price risks and market volatility. They offer flexibility and a customized approach to suit the unique needs of individuals and organizations involved. Traders worldwide use forward contracts for various reasons, including hedging, arbitrage opportunities, and income generation. It is essential to understand the nuances and variables of forward contracts while taking informed decisions. Lastly, it's recommended to work with a reliable and trustworthy financial service provider such as Bajaj Financial Securities to gain the correct insights and knowledge required to make the most out of forward contracts and maximize returns.

Forward Contracts: What are They, Risks and Example (2024)

FAQs

What are the risks of forward contracts? ›

Risks involved while trading in Forwards Include, liquidity risk, default risk, regulatory risk and lack of flexibility. The main areas of differences between Forwards and Futures lie in their contract terms, their default risk, regulation, initial margin and settlement.

What is forward contract with example? ›

For example, a forward contract is drawn between the buyer and seller for 100 kgs of wheat at Rs. 30/kg. The buyer expects the price of the wheat to rise beyond Rs. 30/kg.

What is the issue with forward contracts? ›

A forward contract is signed between party A and party B face to face (or 'over the counter') about a future transaction of an asset. Both parties use the contract to establish and agree on the fundamentals: the price, the quantity, and the date of delivering the asset.

What is an example of a forward option? ›

Example of a forward start option

To gain exposure to the potential upside while mitigating immediate risk, you decide to purchase a Forward Start Call Option on Company XYZ. In this scenario, you pay a premium of $5 per option contract when you purchase the Forward Start Call Option.

What is a disadvantage of a forward contract? ›

Lack of flexibility: One of the biggest disadvantages of using forward contracts is that they lack flexibility. Once a business has entered into a forward contract, they are obligated to buy or sell the currency at the agreed-upon rate, regardless of whether the exchange rate has moved in their favor or not.

What are the pros and cons of a forward contract? ›

Advantages and Disadvantages of Forward Exchange Contracts

The certainty provided by the contract helps a company project cash flow and other aspects of business planning. The disadvantage of the forward contract is that neither party can profit from a significant currency exchange rate shift in their favor.

Why do people use forward contracts? ›

Forward contracts are mainly used to hedge against potential losses. They enable the participants to lock in a price in the future. This guaranteed price can be very important, especially in industries that commonly experience significant volatility in prices.

Why do companies use forward contracts? ›

Risk Mitigation: Businesses are often exposed to significant foreign exchange risk due to large volumes of international transactions. Forward contracts help mitigate this risk by providing price certainty.

What are the two types of forward contracts? ›

Forward Contracts can broadly be classified as 'Fixed Date Forward Contracts' and 'Option Forward Contracts'. In Fixed Date Forward Contracts, the buying/selling of foreign exchange takes place at a specified future date i.e. a fixed maturity date.

Are forward contracts risk free? ›

A forward contract is a promise to buy or sell an asset at a future date at a price agreed to at the contract's initiation. The forward contract has a linear payoff function, with both upside and downside risk.

Which is more risky, a future contract or a forward contract? ›

There is less oversight for forward contracts as privately negotiated, while futures are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Forwards have more counterparty risk than futures.

Do forward contracts have credit risk? ›

Credit risk in a forward contract arises when the counterparty that owes the greater amount is unable to pay at expiration or declares bankruptcy prior to expiration. The market value of a forward contract is a measure of the net amount one party owes the other.

What is forward contract and future contract with examples? ›

A forward contract usually only has one specified delivery date, whereas there is a range of delivery dates in a futures contract. A forward contract can normally be settled on the delivery date, either by delivering the underlying asset or by making a financial settlement.

What is an example of option risk? ›

As an options holder, you risk the entire amount of the premium you pay. But as an options writer, you take on a much higher level of risk. For example, if you write an uncovered call, you face unlimited potential loss, since there is no cap on how high a stock price can rise.

What is an example of a forward contract exchange rate? ›

For example, you could sign a forward contract with a local bank for a payment in Japanese yen that you'll receive in six months. You agree on an exchange rate of 115 yen per dollar, so either if the exchange rate goes up to 125 or down to 105, you will receive the same amount of dollars at 115 yen per dollar.

What is an example of a forward rate agreement in real life? ›

FRA Example

A company enters into an FRA to receive 4% on $100m for a 3-month period starting in 3 years. If LIBOR is 4.5% in 3 years, cash flow to the lender at 3.25 years is: 100,000,000×(0.04−0.045)×0.25=−$125,000.

How does a forward exchange contract work? ›

A forward exchange contract, commonly known as a FEC or forward cover, is a contract between a bank and its customer, whereby a rate of exchange is fixed immediately, for the buying and selling of one currency for another, for delivery at an agreed future date.

Is a forward contract a gain or loss? ›

Offsetting positions in a forward contract are equivalent to a zero-sum game. For example, if one investor takes a long position in a pork belly forward agreement and another investor takes the short position, any gains in the long position equals the losses that the second investor incurs from the short position.

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